Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 421.243620 478.312102 541.514079 616.914758 704.698074 804.002349 925.309881
2026-01-11 336.211184 411.207381 501.730579 619.919480 771.437176 960.887804 1218.408177
2026-01-18 282.493937 362.508539 464.672972 606.325749 800.228864 1060.153998 1441.428647
2026-01-25 245.130662 326.710287 435.630659 594.152939 823.113769 1148.335955 1657.220525
2026-02-01 225.532656 310.898415 429.524489 609.931507 883.670774 1294.057091 1976.725984
2026-02-08 204.873540 290.564277 413.748976 608.283510 916.353765 1400.628614 2251.411877
2026-02-15 186.581343 271.313714 396.822054 601.796632 939.140675 1492.826947 2515.855980
2026-02-22 173.711136 258.600229 387.945937 606.056587 978.559816 1616.155738 2854.210230
2026-03-01 159.526119 242.362292 371.721335 596.060501 991.954101 1695.466820 3124.277675
2026-03-08 148.309586 229.693439 359.782992 591.518388 1013.567388 1791.390963 3442.491965
2026-03-15 135.010215 212.479353 338.755179 568.841609 999.269627 1817.696341 3622.776961
2026-03-22 130.587613 209.476304 341.097483 587.521937 1063.696327 2004.251203 4178.977894
2026-03-29 126.942996 207.624457 345.482404 610.900531 1141.329217 2231.734457 4882.584690
2026-04-05 120.269108 200.004176 339.059680 613.330449 1177.754193 2379.503393 5434.396253
2026-04-12 111.973892 188.847666 325.262213 599.936398 1179.624691 2452.036712 5815.664590
2026-04-19 104.669528 178.905753 312.839773 587.909255 1182.722946 2527.543651 6221.818610
2026-04-26 101.592585 176.408160 314.058412 603.496326 1247.881635 2757.777463 7104.734347
2026-05-03 96.637057 170.041781 307.344099 601.868370 1274.074388 2898.310028 7769.212721
2026-05-10 91.536527 163.032538 298.806022 595.460335 1288.319494 3011.243381 8381.113063
2026-05-17 88.012312 158.781589 295.353526 599.668528 1328.223977 3197.052749 9272.124573
2026-05-24 83.272886 151.846670 285.970521 589.793812 1332.515199 3288.619572 9881.401884
2026-05-31 79.427793 146.421470 279.263111 585.306747 1349.726605 3418.855555 10661.630873
2026-06-07 74.138779 137.793960 265.324287 562.903814 1318.419344 3406.642571 10932.508120